Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 6.580915e-01 0.844425 1.054247 1.305242 1.594557 1.914948 2.293901
2025-08-10 3.930565e-01 0.620741 0.911364 1.296668 1.781420 2.359139 3.087515
2025-08-17 2.216020e-01 0.444611 0.770320 1.247414 1.896392 2.718651 3.808859
2025-08-24 1.424095e-01 0.362149 0.725370 1.303510 2.139016 3.246230 4.767131
2025-08-31 8.320304e-02 0.281145 0.656242 1.305347 2.298586 3.669252 5.611051
2025-09-07 5.523087e-02 0.243632 0.645093 1.387110 2.571929 4.255219 6.691872
2025-09-14 3.417993e-02 0.206068 0.621213 1.440070 2.801128 4.786862 7.717269
2025-09-21 1.903600e-02 0.169174 0.585772 1.463989 2.982060 5.253398 8.665930
2025-09-28 8.353550e-03 0.129795 0.529632 1.438196 3.076343 5.592722 9.443512
2025-10-05 3.770680e-03 0.107389 0.504867 1.465419 3.255502 6.061100 10.414079
2025-10-12 1.274313e-03 0.086595 0.475071 1.475854 3.403428 6.484293 11.328080
2025-10-19 1.521892e-04 0.063271 0.424888 1.433027 3.451882 6.752319 12.019879
2025-10-26 3.863848e-08 0.045093 0.380287 1.395520 3.509266 7.041607 12.761004
2025-11-02 NaN 0.034633 0.357321 1.403796 3.650495 7.469125 13.720039
2025-11-09 NaN 0.023028 0.317024 1.360337 3.688627 7.729376 14.432408
2025-11-16 NaN 0.019838 0.318088 1.424343 3.938716 8.344904 15.698920
2025-11-23 NaN 0.014418 0.298641 1.428577 4.069369 8.764851 16.673209
2025-11-30 NaN 0.013254 0.308356 1.516728 4.373717 9.483988 18.122845
2025-12-07 NaN 0.011101 0.307509 1.573650 4.616344 10.104177 19.428991
2025-12-14 NaN 0.008394 0.296932 1.599392 4.794971 10.619191 20.579309
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005148 0.271071 1.572137 4.859331 10.938466 21.427028
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003738 0.263240 1.601156 5.044631 11.470753 22.618738
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002441 0.250906 1.612288 5.190526 11.936304 23.710237